WEATHER GEEK: Nature’s not-so-subtle reminder – week/weekend outlook

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by Chris Scragg
Puget Sound Weather Geek

We’ve stepped into the week before Thanksgiving, and nature’s here to remind us what season we’re in. Our big protective hill of high pressure has broken and moved out, which means things are going to change fast. Out with the chilly temperatures and cloudless skies, and in with the all too familiar overcast, rainy, and breezy.

A series of systems are beginning to trek across the Pacific Ocean to deliver our dose of storminess going into the rest of the week and into the weekend.

NOTE: The Stage 2 Burn Ban that was issued Wednesday (Nov. 19) has been LIFTED.

Here’s the forecast layout for the next few days:

THURSDAY: A disorganized storm system is swinging in a weak batch of rain late Wednesday night into early morning Thursday. We’re going to see spotty showers throughout the day with mild temperatures in the low 50s. Things start to dry out in the late afternoon.  Nothing special here.

FRIDAY: Here’s where things get a bit more interesting. As Thursday’s weak front clears out, another stronger, and more robust storm slams into Canada just north of Vancouver Island. This front will leave some pretty hefty rain totals, and usher in some locally strong winds. At this point, the Seattle, Burien, and Tacoma areas look pretty weak for winds. Stronger gusts of 40-50mph could be felt in the northern Puget Sound.

SATURDAY: Another period of heavier rain will fall on Saturday in parts of interior western Washington as an upper level storm culls in some colder air in the upper atmosphere. This forecast is less certain, but will be clarified later.

SUNDAY: Sunday looks like a rerun of Thursday. Another strong system looks to be rushing in bands of heavy rain and possibly some higher winds in spots. This one will be watched as data comes in.

After the weekend, the weather prediction computer models get a bit sloppy, so most forecasters are going to hold off on next week until there’s a better consensus.

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